Threat operations/Vulnerabilities / CVE activity
AL
Member accessPublic view · sign in
How threat priority works

CVSS gives technical context. It never enters the VTP threat score. Public exploitation evidence and observations from your honeypots are separate facts.

Vulnerability threat dossier

CVE-2021-3129

facadeignition

Ignition before 2.5.2, as used in Laravel and other products, allows unauthenticated remote attackers to execute arbitrary code because of insecure usage of file_get_contents() and file_put_contents(). This is exploitable on sites using debug mode with Laravel before 8.4.2.

VTP deterministic threat50.0of 100 · CVSS excluded

VTP analyst assessment

Laravel Ignition unauthenticated code execution

AI-assisted analytical recommendationDoes not set factual exploitation state
AI review stateREVIEWED
AI priorityNONE
AI confidence98%
Public exploitation · VTP factKEV

Assessment

Ignition before 2.5.2, including use with Laravel before 8.4.2 in debug mode, permits unauthenticated remote code execution through insecure file_get_contents() and file_put_contents() usage. CISA KEV confirms global exploitation and known ransomware-campaign use; EPSS is 0.99943 and CVSS is 9.8.

Why it matters

  • An exposed vulnerable debug interface can permit complete application-server compromise without credentials or user interaction.
  • Debug-mode exposure is a specific enabling condition.

Evidence

1 record references and 2 source references passed trusted post-response validation. The current deterministic record contains 0 independent evidence groups.

Uncertainties

Applicability to Laravel depends on debug mode and the affected Ignition or Laravel versions.

No exploit artifact is identified, and first-party observation is unknown.

First-party honeypot request semantics are potentially consistent with this CVE. This is an unconfirmed candidate match, not proof of exploitation or successful execution.

Next watchpoint

Internet-accessible Laravel applications using Ignition before 2.5.2 or Laravel before 8.4.2 with debug mode enabled.

AI baseline history (1)
  1. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Laravel Ignition unauthenticated code executiongpt-5.6-sol · high
Technical severityCRITICALCVSS 9.8 · technical context
Public exploitationKEVGlobal public evidence
Exploit maturityNONE KNOWNReliability not implied
EPSS1.00100th percentile · prediction
Evidence confidence0%Strongest independent active claim
VelocitySTABLEMaterial events only
First-party telemetryFirst-party honeypot request semantics are potentially consistent with this CVE. This is an unconfirmed candidate match, not proof of exploitation or successful execution.
Availability: SENSOR_ONLINE_NO_MATCHING_ACTIVITY · Evidence: UNKNOWN
LOW

The request shares exploitation-associated characteristics with CVE-2021-3129, but the evidence does not identify one CVE with sufficient confidence.

CANDIDATE LEADTechnical consistency 100/100

Basis: deterministic technical candidate

CVE-2021-3129
Potentially consistent; exploitation not confirmedDisclosure embargo completed
01

VTP deterministic assessment

Why this matters

  1. 01

    CISA KEV lists this vulnerability as known to be exploited globally.

  2. 02

    EPSS is 1.00; this is predictive context, not exploitation evidence.

  3. 03

    First-party honeypot request semantics are potentially consistent with this CVE. This is an unconfirmed candidate match, not proof of exploitation or successful execution.

02

Material change ledger

What changed

KEV ADDEDCISA KEV entry added
03

Claim provenance

Evidence and source independence

0publications detected
0underlying evidence chains

0 primary sources · 0 dependent secondary reports · 0 reports with unresolved independence. Repetition remains visible without multiplying confirmation.

04

Event history

Threat timeline

  1. 00:0018 Sept
    KEV ADDED

    CISA KEV entry added

    CISA lists global known exploitation. This is not a VTP sensor observation.

05

Original publications

Source record

06

Technical vulnerability data

Context, not threat proof

VTP threat score50.0vtp-threat-v1-public
Public exploitation30 / 30
EPSS prediction19.99 / 20
Exploit availability0 / 15
Source independence0 / 15
Intelligence recency0 / 10
Threat acceleration0 / 10
CVSS technical severityExcluded
CVSS
9.8 · CRITICAL
Vector
CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
CWE
Unknown
CPE records
2
Deterministic history records
20
Primary technical reference
07

Raw observations

First-party sensor records

First-party honeypot request semantics are potentially consistent with this CVE. This is an unconfirmed candidate match, not proof of exploitation or successful execution.