How threat priority works

CVSS gives technical context. It never enters the VTP threat score. Public exploitation evidence and observations from your honeypots are separate facts.

Vulnerability threat dossier

CVE-2026-104935

ivanticonnect secure

Authentication bypass by spoofing in ICS before version 25.1.3.0 allows a remote unauthenticated attacker to execute arbitrary commands. This does not impact ICS version 22.7R2.14 or prior.

VTP deterministic threat63.7of 100 · CVSS excluded

VTP analyst assessment

Ivanti Connect Secure spoofing bypass and command execution

AI-assisted analytical recommendationDoes not set factual exploitation state
AI review stateCANDIDATE CREATED
AI priorityCRITICAL
AI confidence90%
Public exploitation · VTP factKEV

Assessment

CVE-2026-104935 is an Ivanti Connect Secure authentication bypass by spoofing that can permit unauthenticated remote command execution. CISA KEV lists it as exploited, and BleepingComputer reports zero-day attacks since at least October 1.

Why it matters

  • An attacker can gain code execution on a remote-access appliance without valid credentials.
  • If you use Connect Secure versions before 25.1.3.0, apply the vendor fix immediately; version 22.7R2.14 and earlier are not affected.

Evidence

3 record references and 2 source references passed trusted post-response validation. The current deterministic record contains 2 independent evidence groups.

Uncertainties

The supplied press report attributes zero-day exploitation but does not provide campaign indicators.

First-party sensor telemetry is active; no disclosure-eligible deterministic observation is currently public for this CVE. This does not mean no activity was observed.

Next watchpoint

Review Connect Secure authentication and command-execution logs from October 1 onward.

AI baseline history (8)
  1. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure spoofing bypass and command executiongpt-5.6-terra · low
  2. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure zero-day exploitation reportedgpt-5.6-terra · low
  3. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure authentication bypass is exploited as a zero-daygpt-5.6-terra · low
  4. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure authentication bypass by spoofinggpt-5.6-terra · low
  5. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure authentication bypass and command executiongpt-5.6-terra · low
  6. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure authentication bypass with known exploitationgpt-5.6-terra · low
  7. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure authentication-bypass zero-daygpt-5.6-terra · low
  8. BASELINE ASSESSED
    Ivanti Connect Secure zero-day exploitation reportedgpt-5.6-terra · low

Previous AI priority: CRITICAL → current: CRITICAL. Inspect the evidence preserved for each run before treating this as a threat transition.

Technical severityHIGHCVSS 8.6 · technical context
Public exploitationKEVGlobal public evidence
Exploit maturityPOCReliability not implied
EPSS0.2698th percentile · prediction
Evidence confidence90%Strongest independent active claim
VelocitySTABLEMaterial events only
First-party telemetryFirst-party sensor telemetry is active; no disclosure-eligible deterministic observation is currently public for this CVE. This does not mean no activity was observed.
Availability: SENSOR_ONLINE_NO_MATCHING_ACTIVITY · Evidence: UNKNOWN
01

VTP deterministic assessment

Why this matters

  1. 01

    CISA KEV lists this vulnerability as known to be exploited globally.

  2. 02

    A proof of concept is reported; functional reliability is not established.

  3. 03

    2 independent sources support material claims.

  4. 04

    EPSS is 0.26; this is predictive context, not exploitation evidence.

  5. 05

    First-party sensor telemetry is active; no disclosure-eligible deterministic observation is currently public for this CVE. This does not mean no activity was observed.

02

Material change ledger

What changed

RESEARCH PUBLICATIONNew technical research
ZERO DAYZero Day
EXPLOIT TEMPLATE AVAILABLEPublic exploit-oriented template available
RESEARCH PUBLICATIONNew technical research
ZERO DAYZero Day
ACTIVE EXPLOITATIONActive Exploitation
KEV ADDEDCISA KEV entry added
03

Claim provenance

Evidence and source independence

11publications detected
11underlying evidence chains

2 primary sources · 0 dependent secondary reports · 8 reports with unresolved independence. Repetition remains visible without multiplying confirmation.

Source claimZERO DAYPUBLICATION REPORTS ZERO DAY
86%claim confidence
INDEPENDENTreport:de51633788b958ee379cbbadae42ae8de3cefcc9de70b325d6bbfd12c4cacea9ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimZERO DAYPUBLICATION REPORTS ZERO DAY
64%claim confidence
UNKNOWNreport:94527aa31e016a39c11ed734bffdd3b4e4c5653c43bbebb6947aba3c87f3e98aACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimEXPLOITATION REPORTEDPUBLICATION REPORTS EXPLOITATION
60%claim confidence
UNKNOWNreport:fbf1c45f0a313e978376be8f26f01476456ef762a73ac913662dbdd1956af645ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimEXPLOITATION REPORTEDPUBLICATION REPORTS EXPLOITATION
60%claim confidence
UNKNOWNreport:0c0a254127ad1038034064e9c2c549ba6fb420c819230c744e5ef5aeaf055b25ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimEXPLOIT TEMPLATE AVAILABLEPUBLIC EXPLOIT TEMPLATE
90%claim confidence
PRIMARYcorpus:NUCLEI:dd12b881db5bfdda92f68807317239e21c3b8f1eACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimZERO DAYPUBLICATION REPORTS ZERO DAY
64%claim confidence
UNKNOWNreport:55fab48287dd7421b7363eeb86536c81fa75437d024e89f6d40adde4c0e4be06ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimZERO DAYPUBLICATION REPORTS ZERO DAY
86%claim confidence
INDEPENDENTreport:e43f2d94a5f6fb6c5ee57165ab8c8ce00a36de995a19efb7bbbe5407c6378b38ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimACTIVE EXPLOITATIONSOURCE REPORTS ACTIVE EXPLOITATION
82%claim confidence
INDEPENDENTreport:e43f2d94a5f6fb6c5ee57165ab8c8ce00a36de995a19efb7bbbe5407c6378b38ACTIVE
Evidence
Source claimZERO DAYPUBLICATION REPORTS ZERO DAY
64%claim confidence
UNKNOWNreport:cc43b8a32b8883f4ba257e34e91531a6d41e1d3c6fc12e15895a6c184e3c8027ACTIVE
Evidence
04

Event history

Threat timeline

  1. 18:0015 Oct
    RESEARCH PUBLICATION

    New technical research

    Cisco Talos published evidence linked to CVE-2026-104935.

  2. 18:0015 Oct
    ZERO DAY

    Zero Day

    Cisco Talos supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  3. 21:2014 Oct
    ZERO DAY

    Zero Day

    Dark Reading supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  4. 12:5814 Oct
    EXPLOITATION REPORTED

    Exploitation Reported

    BleepingComputer supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  5. 12:3014 Oct
    EXPLOITATION REPORTED

    Exploitation Reported

    The Hacker News supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  6. 01:1014 Oct
    EXPLOIT TEMPLATE AVAILABLE

    Public exploit-oriented template available

    ProjectDiscovery nuclei-templates published new or materially changed exploit-oriented tooling for this CVE. This is availability evidence, not evidence of exploitation in the wild.

  7. 18:4313 Oct
    ZERO DAY

    Zero Day

    SecurityWeek supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  8. 17:0613 Oct
    RESEARCH PUBLICATION

    New technical research

    Rapid7 Research published evidence linked to CVE-2026-104935.

  9. 17:0613 Oct
    ZERO DAY

    Zero Day

    Rapid7 Research supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  10. 17:0613 Oct
    ACTIVE EXPLOITATION

    Active Exploitation

    Rapid7 Research supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  11. 15:4513 Oct
    ZERO DAY

    Zero Day

    BleepingComputer supplied a deterministically extracted signal; review the linked evidence before escalation.

  12. 00:0013 Oct
    KEV ADDED

    CISA KEV entry added

    CISA lists global known exploitation. This is not a VTP sensor observation.

05

Original publications

Source record

The Q3 Vulnerability Pulse: Discovery ≠ Exploitation

Is the cybersecurity world really facing a "Bugmageddon?" Thor breaks down the latest CVE and KEV trends in the latest Threat Source newsletter.

CVE-2014-125110CVE-2015-1000013CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

Ivanti ICS Zero-Day Attacks Highlight Vendor Patching Hurdles

CVE-2026-104935, a high-severity authentication bypass + RCE vulnerability, was only partially discovered and patched in July, leaving an opening for threat actors to capitalize on.

CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

CISA warns admins to immediately fix Ivanti flaw exploited as zero-day

The U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) urged security teams to immediately patch an Ivanti Connect Secure (ICS) flaw exploited in zero-day attacks since at least October 1st. [...]

CVE-2023-46805CVE-2024-21887CVE-2024-21893CVE-2025-0282CVE-2025-22457CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

CISA warns of new Ivanti bug being exploited as latest Patch Tuesday breaks records

The sixth exploited Ivanti bug this year drew attention from the feds and researchers, while a severe Microsoft vulnerability was one of more than 1,400 listed for Patch Tuesday.

CVE-2026-104935CVE-2026-96951
Separate evidence group
Original

CISA Urges Immediate Ivanti Connect Secure Updates as Honeypots Log 105 Exploit Attempts

The U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) on Tuesday urged organizations to take steps to immediately update their Ivanti Connect Secure (ICS) appliances and deployments to the latest version following the disclosure of an actively exploited vulnerability. The security flaw, tracked as CVE-2026-104935 (CVSS score: 8.6), is a case of authentication bypass impacting ICS

CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

Citrix, Fortinet, Ivanti Patch 29 Vulnerabilities Across Their Products

Critical-severity flaws could lead to authentication bypass, code execution, and sensitive authentication information leaks. The post Citrix, Fortinet, Ivanti Patch 29 Vulnerabilities Across Their Products appeared first on SecurityWeek .

CVE-2026-104935CVE-2026-106042CVE-2026-106173CVE-2026-107656CVE-2026-109412
Separate evidence group
Original

Exploit tooling coverage changed for 1 CVE

ProjectDiscovery nuclei-templates recorded exploit-tooling coverage changes for 1 CVE in this pinned revision. 1 have an active availability assertion for this revision. Tooling evidence does not establish exploitation in the wild or successful execution.

CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

Ivanti Zero-Day Chain Gave Attackers Root Access to Fully Patched VPN

CVE-2026-104935 affects Ivanti Connect Secure and it can be exploited for unauthenticated remote code execution with elevated privileges. The post Ivanti Zero-Day Chain Gave Attackers Root Access to Fully Patched VPN appeared first on SecurityWeek .

CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

Attacker Chains Three Ivanti Connect Secure Zero-Days for Root Access, Only Two Patched So Far

An attacker chained three zero-day flaws in Ivanti Connect Secure, a VPN appliance, to run commands as root without logging in, security firm Volexity said on October 13. Ivanti has released fixes for two of the flaws and told customers on affected versions to "act immediately." A fix for the third is still pending, according to Volexity. Volexity, which reported the flaws to Ivanti,

CVE-2026-104935CVE-2026-106042CVE-2026-109412
Separate evidence group
Original

Ivanti Connect Secure zero-day exploited in the wild (CVE-2026-104935)

Overview On October 13, 2026, Ivanti published a security advisory for CVE-2026-104935 , a high-severity authentication bypass by spoofing ( CWE-290 ) affecting Ivanti Connect Secure (ICS). The vulnerability has a CVSSv3.0 score of 8.6 and allows a remote, unauthenticated attacker to execute arbitrary commands. Ivanti reports that exploitation in the wild has already occurred prior to disclosure, affecting a limited number of customers. This indicates that exploitation has been occurring as a zero-day vulnerability. The U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) confirms exploitation in the wild, and added CVE-2026-104935 to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) catalog on the same day as the vendor's public disclosure. The digital forensics firm Volexity has published a detailed blog post describing the threat actor activity, which was detected in early October 2026. Volexity notes that in addition to leveraging CVE-2026-104935 as a zero-day, the threat actor also leveraged an as-yet unpatched privilege escalation vulnerability which Ivanti are planning to patch at a later date. According to the vendor, a portion of the vulnerability was initially discovered through its product security program and patched in the July 2026 release of 25.1.3.0 . Exploitation occurred while Ivanti was working to backport the fix to the remaining supported versions. Ivanti Connect Secure is a popular enterprise VPN solution and naturally sits on the edge of a corporate environment. The product has a history of being targeted by attackers, with zero-day exploitation of other vulnerabilities occurring back in both 2024 and 2025 . Given the confirmed exploitation, the ability to execute commands without authentication, along with the history of the product, Rapid7 recommends that organizations running affected versions apply the appropriate update on an emergency basis outside of normal patching cycles. Mitigation guidance Vendor-supplied updates are available to remediate CVE-2026-104935. Ivanti lists the following affected and resolved versions: Ivanti Connect Secure affected versions Resolved versions 25.1.1.1 and prior in the applicable code line 25.1.1.2 25.1.2.2 and prior in the applicable code line 25.1.3.0 , 25.1.3.1 22.8R2.4 and prior in the applicable code line 22.8R2.5 Note that the vendor advisory confirms that versions 22.7.x and below are unaffected. At the time of the advisory, Ivanti states that reliable indicators of compromise are not available, however Volexity have published several here . Rapid7 strongly recommends looking for signs of compromise even after the patch has been applied. Customers who suspect exploitation should follow the vendor's recovery steps . For the latest mitigation guidance, please refer to the vendor's security advisory . Rapid7 customers Exposure Command, Vulnerability Management, and Nexpose Exposure Command, Vulnerability Management, and Nexpose customers can assess exposure to CVE-2026-104935 with a vulnerability check expected to be available in the October 14 content release. Updates October 13, 2026 : Initial publication.

CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original

Ivanti warns of Connect Secure zero-day exploited in attacks

Ivanti urged customers on Tuesday to immediately patch an actively exploited zero-day vulnerability in the Ivanti Connect Secure (ICS) remote access gateway. [...]

CVE-2023-46805CVE-2024-21887CVE-2024-21893CVE-2025-0282CVE-2025-22457CVE-2026-104935
Separate evidence group
Original
06

Technical vulnerability data

Context, not threat proof

VTP threat score63.7vtp-threat-v1-public
Public exploitation30 / 30
EPSS prediction5.2 / 20
Exploit availability7.5 / 15
Source independence15 / 15
Intelligence recency6 / 10
Threat acceleration0 / 10
CVSS technical severityExcluded
CVSS
8.6 · HIGH
Vector
CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:L/A:L
CWE
CWE-290
CPE records
6
Deterministic history records
17
Primary technical reference
07

Raw observations

First-party sensor records

First-party sensor telemetry is active; no disclosure-eligible deterministic observation is currently public for this CVE. This does not mean no activity was observed.